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I Use Value Averaging Instead of DCA - Here’s Why It Works Better

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I Use Value Averaging Instead of DCA - Here’s Why It Works Better

You see a lot of “just DCA bro” advice on here.Nothing wrong with DCA it’s simple and beginner-friendly but I moved to Value Averaging this cycle, and the results have been way better.

Most people know DCA because it’s simple: buy the same amount every week.But when you’re trying to get better prices and make the market’s volatility work for you, Value Averaging is a much stronger method.

Let me show you exactly how it played out using real BTC price action from 2024–2025.

Rule I Followed

Every 15% drop in BTC : Buy.
First Buy = $1,000
Second Buy = $2,000
Third Buy = 3000$
Continues.....

BTC gave three clean 30% corrections this cycle, so this rule activated six times.

Drawdown 1 — March 2024 (-30%)

BTC dropped twice by 15%, so we can bought:

  • $1,000 ( Buy 01 )
  • $2,000 ( Buy 02 )

Later, when BTC reached what I marked as “Top 3,” these were the gains:

  • $1,000 → +95% = +$950
  • $2,000 → +131% = +$2,620

Total = $3,570 profit

Drawdown 2 — December 2024 (-30%)

Same plan again:

  • $1,000 ( Buy 03 )
  • $2000 ( Buy 04 )

During the recovery toward Top 3, three positions were still showing:

  • +$950 ( Buy 01 )
  • +$2620 ( Buy 02 )
  • +$330 ( Buy 03 )
  • +$1140 ( Buy 04 )

Total = $5,040 profit

Current Drawdown — 2025 July–Oct (-30%)

This is where we are right now.

Two more buys triggered:

  • Buy 05: $1,000 → currently –14%
  • Buy 06: $2,000 → currently breakeven

These are fresh buys, so it’s totally normal that they haven’t recovered yet.

Total Structure

  • 6 total buys – 3 × $1,000 – 3 × $2,000
  • Total invested = $9,000

Right now, even though BTC is still in a ~30% decline:

  • Three positions remain in profit ($420 + $1,300 + $260)
  • One is slightly negative (–$140)
  • Two are at breakeven

Overall: still profitable during a drawdown.

Why This Beats DCA for Me

DCA buys at every price expensive, cheap, doesn’t matter.

Value Averaging waits for discounts.

  • You buy more when BTC is cheaper
  • Your average cost drops fast
  • Strong assets recover and reward the early buys
  • Drawdowns become opportunities instead of pain
  • Your risk is distributed intelligently

no guessing bottoms. no chasing tops.Just reacting to 15% dips the same way, every time.

This is the whole point:

submitted by /u/Prabuddha-Peramuna
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