| You see a lot of “just DCA bro” advice on here.Nothing wrong with DCA it’s simple and beginner-friendly but I moved to Value Averaging this cycle, and the results have been way better. Most people know DCA because it’s simple: buy the same amount every week.But when you’re trying to get better prices and make the market’s volatility work for you, Value Averaging is a much stronger method. Let me show you exactly how it played out using real BTC price action from 2024–2025. Rule I Followed
BTC gave three clean 30% corrections this cycle, so this rule activated six times. Drawdown 1 — March 2024 (-30%) BTC dropped twice by 15%, so we can bought:
Later, when BTC reached what I marked as “Top 3,” these were the gains:
Total = $3,570 profit Drawdown 2 — December 2024 (-30%) Same plan again:
During the recovery toward Top 3, three positions were still showing:
Total = $5,040 profit Current Drawdown — 2025 July–Oct (-30%) This is where we are right now. Two more buys triggered:
These are fresh buys, so it’s totally normal that they haven’t recovered yet. Total Structure
Right now, even though BTC is still in a ~30% decline:
Overall: still profitable during a drawdown. Why This Beats DCA for Me DCA buys at every price expensive, cheap, doesn’t matter. Value Averaging waits for discounts.
no guessing bottoms. no chasing tops.Just reacting to 15% dips the same way, every time. This is the whole point: [link] [comments] |
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